Tuesday, 20 April 2010

Highlights of RBI's FY11 Annual Policy Statement


* Hikes reverse repo, repo rate, CRR by 25bps each

* Reverse repo, repo rate hikes with immediate effect
* CRR hike effective from Apr 24
* CRR hike to impound 125 bln rupees from banks
* FY11 GDP growth projection at 8.0% with upside bias
* March end inflation projection at 5.5%
* FY11 banks' credit growth projection at 20.0%
* FY11 banks' deposit growth projection at 18.0%
* FY11 money supply growth projection at 17.0%
.
STANCE
* Hike in policy rates, CRR to help contain inflation
* Hike in policy rates, CRR to anchor inflationary expectations
* Measures to sustain recovery process
* Govt borrow needs, private credit demand will be met
* Hikes to align policy tools with evolving state of econ
* To closely monitor macro events, prices; take warranted steps
* Econ firmly on recovery path, industrial growth broad based
* India economy resilient, recovery consolidating
* FY11 econ growth to be higher, more broad-based vs FY10
* Lower policy rates can complicate inflation outlook
* Lower policy rates also impair inflationary expectations
* Despite 25bps hike in rates, real policy rates still negative
* Need to normalise policy rates in calibrated manner
* Inflationary pressures "accentuated" in recent period
* Inflation getting increasingly generalised
* Capacity constraints to re-emerge as econ growth rises
* Must ensure demand-side inflation does not become entrenched
* FY11 fresh govt bond issuances 36.3% higher vs FY10
* FY11 fresh govt bond issuances "a dilemma"
* Policy considerations demands liquidity be curbed
* Govt borrow needs supportive liquidity conditions
* Need to absorb liquidity without hurting govt borrow plan
* To respond swiftly, effectively to inflationary expectation
* To actively manage liquidity, ensure private credit demand is met
More

No comments:

Post a Comment